Victoria Azarenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 27, 2025 • 3:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Victoria Azarenka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Azarenka
46% · 6–7 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,909 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,909 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 57% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.8 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,378 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,378 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Azarenka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova are set to meet at the US Open on August 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Azarenka enters with a 6–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Pavlyuchenkova has posted a 6–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Azarenka, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Azarenka leads 3–0 over Pavlyuchenkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.