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Match analytics

Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction

US Open • Hard • Aug 27, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Emma Navarro

Key insights

Player performance profile

Emma Navarro

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,430 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.757% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.875% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
47%40% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Caty McNally

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,591 points across 33 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.451% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.040% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.347% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%17% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Emma Navarro and Caty McNally are set to meet at the US Open on August 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Navarro enters with a 17–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while McNally has posted a 19–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Navarro, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Navarro leads 2–1 over McNally, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Navarro and McNally alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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