Matteo Martineau vs Jurij Rodionov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mallorca • Hard • Aug 27, 2025 • 12:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jurij Rodionov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,098 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,098 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.5 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Martineau and Jurij Rodionov are set to meet at the Mallorca on August 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Martineau enters with a 20–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rodionov has posted a 25–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rodionov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rodionov leads 4–1 over Martineau.