Kamilla Rakhimova vs Caroline Garcia · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 25, 2025 • 6:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Kamilla Rakhimova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kamilla Rakhimova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,664 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,664 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Caroline Garcia
33% · 4–8 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,594 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,594 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kamilla Rakhimova and Caroline Garcia are set to meet at the US Open on August 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rakhimova enters with a 17–21 record on hard courts in 2025, while Garcia has posted a 4–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Garcia entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Garcia leads 2–1 over Rakhimova.