Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Muller · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 26, 2025 • 8:40 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexandre Muller
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,324 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,324 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 90% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alexandre Muller are set to meet at the US Open on August 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 13–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muller has posted a 15–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tsitsipas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–0 over Muller, including a win in their most recent meeting.