Alexei Popyrin vs Emil Ruusuvuori · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 26, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Alexei Popyrin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,023 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emil Ruusuvuori
38% · 9–15 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~440 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~440 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexei Popyrin and Emil Ruusuvuori are set to meet at the US Open on August 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Popyrin enters with a 7–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ruusuvuori has posted a 9–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruusuvuori entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Popyrin leads 2–0 over Ruusuvuori, including a win in their most recent meeting.