Sebastian Ofner vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 25, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Ofner
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,250 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,250 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,592 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,592 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Ofner and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the US Open on August 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ofner enters with a 0–4 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ruud has posted a 23–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 3–0 over Ofner, including a win in their most recent meeting.