Match analytics

Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy · Match odds & ELO prediction

US Open • Hard • Aug 25, 2025 • 9:20 PM

Hard

Final score

3 - 1

Winner Karen Khachanov

Key insights

Player performance profile

Karen Khachanov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,656 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.983% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.773% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.331% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%33% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nishesh Basavareddy

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,309 points across 45 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.530% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.239% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.842% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
38%23% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Karen Khachanov and Nishesh Basavareddy are set to meet at the US Open on August 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Khachanov enters with a 15–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Basavareddy has posted a 21–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Basavareddy, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 1–0 over Basavareddy, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Khachanov and Basavareddy have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.