Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalov · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 26, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Denis Shapovalov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marton Fucsovics
46% · 6–7 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,529 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,529 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Denis Shapovalov
50% · 6–6 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,383 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,383 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marton Fucsovics and Denis Shapovalov are set to meet at the US Open on August 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fucsovics enters with a 20–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shapovalov has posted a 23–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Shapovalov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Shapovalov leads 3–1 over Fucsovics, including a win in their most recent meeting.