Tara Wuerth vs Arina Rodionova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 18, 2025 • 8:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tara Wuerth
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tara Wuerth
44% · 4–5 on hard
63% · 22–13 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~381 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~381 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arina Rodionova
56% · 20–16 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tara Wuerth and Arina Rodionova are set to meet at the US Open on August 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Wuerth enters with a 4–5 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rodionova has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Wuerth entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.