Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Arantxa Rus · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 18, 2025 • 3:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Arantxa Rus
Key insights
Player performance profile
Carlota Martinez Cirez
14% · 1–6 on hard
38% · 16–26 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~387 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~387 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.1 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arantxa Rus
44% · 12–15 on hard
58% · 28–20 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Carlota Martinez Cirez and Arantxa Rus are set to meet at the US Open on August 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cirez enters with a 1–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rus has posted a 12–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rus, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rus leads 2–0 over Cirez, including a win in their most recent meeting.