Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij Rodionov · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 19, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki
Key insights
Player performance profile
Shintaro Mochizuki
0% · 0–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,226 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,871 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,871 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.0 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Jurij Rodionov are set to meet at the US Open on August 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mochizuki enters with a 30–21 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rodionov has posted a 25–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rodionov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mochizuki leads 2–1 over Rodionov, including a win in their most recent meeting.