L. Sun vs Lea Ma · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monterrey • Hard • Aug 17, 2025 • 12:20 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner L. Sun
Key insights
Player performance profile
L. Sun
23% · 3–10 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
40% · 2–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,112 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,112 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lea Ma
56% · 18–14 on hard
60% · 6–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
L. Sun and Lea Ma are set to meet at the Monterrey on August 17, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sun enters with a 3–10 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ma has posted a 18–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ma entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sun leads 1–0 over Ma, including a win in their most recent meeting.