Match analytics

Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 15, 2025 • 11:10 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Alexander Zverev

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ben Shelton

HARD

64% · 2715 on hard

CLAY

58% · 75 on clay

GRASS

60% · 64 on grass

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,637 points across 60 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.393% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.76% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+9.098% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
73%93% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alexander Zverev

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,343 points across 79 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.796% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.265% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.351% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ben Shelton and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shelton enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Zverev has posted a 31–15 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 5–0 over Shelton, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Zverev, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Shelton has gone 1–4 over the same span.