Jasmine Paolini vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 16, 2025 • 12:50 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 79% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gauff has posted a 30–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.