BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alejandro Tabilo vs Agustin Tirante Thiago · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cancun 2 • Hard • Aug 14, 2025 • 10:35 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Agustin Tirante Thiago

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,984 points across 42 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.565% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.012% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.359% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%58% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Agustin Tirante Thiago

HARDSmall sample

100% · 10 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,554 points across 31 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.442% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.537% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-11.51% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
0%0% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alejandro Tabilo and Agustin Tirante Thiago are set to meet at the Cancun 2 on August 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Thiago has posted a 15–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Thiago entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–1 over Thiago, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Tabilo, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Thiago has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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