BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Stefano Travaglia vs Lukas Neumayer · Match odds & ELO prediction

Todi • Clay • Aug 14, 2025 • 8:10 PM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Stefano Travaglia

Key insights

Player performance profile

Stefano Travaglia

HARD

65% · 116 on hard

CLAY

54% · 76 on clay

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~877 points across 6 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.023% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.98% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.513% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
14%1% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lukas Neumayer

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,239 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.418% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.970% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.513% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
20%3% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Stefano Travaglia and Lukas Neumayer are set to meet at the Todi on August 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with a 32–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Neumayer has posted a 32–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Neumayer, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Neumayer leads 2–1 over Travaglia.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Travaglia and Neumayer have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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