Rio Noguchi vs James Watt · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cancun 2 • Hard • Aug 12, 2025 • 8:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Rio Noguchi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rio Noguchi
70% · 19–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
James Watt
60% · 3–2 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rio Noguchi and James Watt are set to meet at the Cancun 2 on August 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Noguchi enters with a 38–31 record on hard courts in 2025, while Watt has posted a 9–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Noguchi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Noguchi leads 2–0 over Watt, including a win in their most recent meeting.