Match analytics

Iga Swiatek vs Sorana Cirstea · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 13, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Iga Swiatek

Key insights

Player performance profile

Iga Swiatek

HARD

60% · 32 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.898% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.296% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.581% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
71%87% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Sorana Cirstea

HARD

80% · 41 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,281 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.987% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.041% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+3.374% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 41–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cirstea has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 6–0 over Cirstea, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Swiatek and Cirstea have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.