BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anna Kalinskaya · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 14, 2025 • 2:15 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Anna Kalinskaya

Key insights

Player performance profile

Ekaterina Alexandrova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,118 points across 78 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.389% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.672% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.612% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
29%13% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Anna Kalinskaya

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,093 points across 50 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.080% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.728% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.348% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%39% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anna Kalinskaya are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 14, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kalinskaya has posted a 19–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Alexandrova leads 3–1 over Kalinskaya.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Alexandrova and Kalinskaya alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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