Jelle Sels vs Daniel Rincon · Match odds & ELO prediction
Sofia • Clay • Aug 12, 2025 • 11:45 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniel Rincon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jelle Sels
58% · 22–16 on hard
54% · 21–18 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Rincon
74% · 17–6 on hard
42% · 15–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jelle Sels and Daniel Rincon are set to meet at the Sofia on August 12, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sels enters with a 21–18 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rincon has posted a 15–21 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rincon leads 3–0 over Sels, including a win in their most recent meeting.