BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Clara Tauson vs Ajla Tomljanovic · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 10, 2025 • 5:40 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Clara Tauson

Key insights

Player performance profile

Clara Tauson

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,356 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.894% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.827% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.858% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%54% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Ajla Tomljanovic

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,977 points across 51 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.249% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.944% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.261% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%60% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Clara Tauson and Ajla Tomljanovic are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tauson enters with a 26–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tomljanovic has posted a 14–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tauson entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tomljanovic leads 3–2 over Tauson, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tauson and Tomljanovic have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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