BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Benjamin Bonzi vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 9, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Benjamin Bonzi

Key insights

Player performance profile

Benjamin Bonzi

HARDSmall sample

0% · 02 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,515 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.646% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.731% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.734% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
35%19% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lorenzo Musetti

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,744 points across 67 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.186% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.386% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.454% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
65%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Benjamin Bonzi and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bonzi enters with a 18–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Musetti has posted a 26–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Bonzi and Musetti have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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