Benjamin Bonzi vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 9, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Benjamin Bonzi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Benjamin Bonzi
61% · 14–9 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,310 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,310 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Benjamin Bonzi and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bonzi enters with a 18–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Musetti has posted a 26–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.