BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mariano Navone vs Emilio Nava · Match odds & ELO prediction

Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 6, 2025 • 10:25 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Emilio Nava

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mariano Navone

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,611 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.59% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.698% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.015% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
35%17% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Emilio Nava

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,189 points across 31 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.053% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.616% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.182% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%72% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mariano Navone and Emilio Nava are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Navone enters with a 5–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nava has posted a 8–7 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Navone leads 2–1 over Nava, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Navone and Nava have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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