Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cincinnati • Hard • Aug 7, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Roberto Carballes Baena
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,117 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,117 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roberto Carballes Baena and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Cincinnati on August 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Baena enters with a 7–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gaston has posted a 24–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gaston entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.