Match analytics

Marco Cecchinato vs Federico Coria · Match odds & ELO prediction

Bonn • Clay • Aug 5, 2025 • 1:05 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Federico Coria

Key insights

Player performance profile

Marco Cecchinato

CLAY

53% · 3934 on clay

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.081% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Federico Coria

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

CLAY

54% · 2017 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,762 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.49% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
0.990% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.351% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Marco Cecchinato and Federico Coria are set to meet at the Bonn on August 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cecchinato enters with a 39–34 record on clay courts in 2025, while Coria has posted a 20–17 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Coria leads 5–1 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Cecchinato and Coria alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.