Marco Cecchinato vs Federico Coria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bonn • Clay • Aug 5, 2025 • 1:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Federico Coria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~645 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~645 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.4 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federico Coria
0% · 0–1 on hard
54% · 20–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,854 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Cecchinato and Federico Coria are set to meet at the Bonn on August 5, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cecchinato enters with a 39–34 record on clay courts in 2025, while Coria has posted a 20–17 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Cecchinato, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Coria leads 5–1 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.