Andrey Rublev vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Aug 5, 2025 • 11:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,188 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.9 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrey Rublev and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the Toronto on August 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rublev enters with a 22–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fritz has posted a 36–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 5–2 over Rublev, including a win in their most recent meeting.