August Holmgren vs Darian King · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chicago • Hard • Aug 5, 2025 • 8:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 15–15 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
71% · 5–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,781 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,781 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.5 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 78% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Darian King
33% · 4–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Darian King are set to meet at the Chicago on August 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 15–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while King has posted a 4–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Holmgren entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 2–0 over King, including a win in their most recent meeting.