Bernard Tomic vs Eliot Spizzirri · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lexington • Hard • Aug 2, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Bernard Tomic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Bernard Tomic
44% · 7–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,785 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Eliot Spizzirri
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,284 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,284 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 57% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Bernard Tomic and Eliot Spizzirri are set to meet at the Lexington on August 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomic enters with a 32–25 record on hard courts in 2025, while Spizzirri has posted a 44–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Spizzirri entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tomic leads 2–1 over Spizzirri, including a win in their most recent meeting.