BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Hugo Grenier vs Moez Echargui · Match odds & ELO prediction

Porto • Hard • Aug 2, 2025 • 12:20 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Moez Echargui

Key insights

Player performance profile

Hugo Grenier

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,494 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.615% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.950% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.360% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
40%26% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Moez Echargui

HARD

78% · 6218 on hard

CLAY

50% · 44 on clay

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,012 points across 10 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.330% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.441% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+15.4100% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Hugo Grenier and Moez Echargui are set to meet at the Porto on August 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Grenier enters with a 39–27 record on hard courts in 2025, while Echargui has posted a 62–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Echargui, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Grenier leads 2–1 over Echargui, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Grenier and Echargui alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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