Francesco Maestrelli vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Porto • Hard • Aug 2, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francesco Maestrelli
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesco Maestrelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
61% · 22–14 on hard
50% · 19–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.5 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Porto on August 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maestrelli enters with a 18–10 record on hard courts in 2025, while Canas has posted a 22–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Canas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maestrelli leads 2–1 over Canas, including a win in their most recent meeting.