Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Aug 2, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex Michelsen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Michelsen
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,444 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,444 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,413 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,413 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Toronto on August 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Michelsen enters with a 17–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tien has posted a 32–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Michelsen entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Michelsen leads 3–1 over Tien, including a win in their most recent meeting.