Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Vukic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 7:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Frances Tiafoe
Key insights
Player performance profile
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,074 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,074 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aleksandar Vukic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,585 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,585 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.4 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Frances Tiafoe and Aleksandar Vukic are set to meet at the Toronto on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tiafoe enters with a 14–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vukic has posted a 19–24 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 3–1 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.