BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik · Match odds & ELO prediction

Toronto • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,819 points across 80 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.036% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.288% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.692% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
61%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jakub Mensik

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,569 points across 73 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.985% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.655% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.553% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%69% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jakub Mensik are set to meet at the Toronto on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 30–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mensik has posted a 24–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mensik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fokina leads 4–1 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Mensik, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Fokina has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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