Match analytics

Elena Rybakina vs J. Cristian · Match odds & ELO prediction

Montreal • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 1:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elena Rybakina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,252 points across 78 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.6100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.236% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.663% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%67% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

J. Cristian

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,213 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-4.650% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.7100% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
-3.167% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
45%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elena Rybakina and J. Cristian are set to meet at the Montreal on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cristian has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–1 over Cristian, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Rybakina and Cristian have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.