BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elena Rybakina vs J. Cristian · Match odds & ELO prediction

Montreal • Hard • Aug 1, 2025 • 1:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elena Rybakina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~14,206 points across 98 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.4100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.334% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.669% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%69% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

J. Cristian

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,526 points across 66 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-4.740% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.480% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+2.5100% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
62%100% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elena Rybakina and J. Cristian are set to meet at the Montreal on August 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 42–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Cristian has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–1 over Cristian, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Rybakina and Cristian have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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