Gabriel Diallo vs Matteo Gigante · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Jul 30, 2025 • 6:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Gabriel Diallo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Gabriel Diallo
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,115 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Gigante
45% · 10–12 on hard
65% · 15–8 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Gabriel Diallo and Matteo Gigante are set to meet at the Toronto on July 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Diallo enters with a 18–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gigante has posted a 10–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Diallo, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Diallo leads 2–1 over Gigante, including a win in their most recent meeting.