Sebastian Sorger vs Ergi Kirkin · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Bolzano • Clay • Jul 30, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ergi Kirkin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Sorger
0% · 0–1 on hard
60% · 35–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Ergi Kirkin
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~107 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~107 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 90% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Sorger and Ergi Kirkin are set to meet at the M25 Bolzano on July 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sorger enters with a 35–23 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kirkin has posted a 7–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sorger, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kirkin leads 2–0 over Sorger, including a win in their most recent meeting.