Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Jul 30, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,493 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,493 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,722 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,722 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adrian Mannarino and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the Toronto on July 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mannarino enters with a 16–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shelton has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mannarino entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.