Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Jul 30, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,215 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,215 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,599 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,599 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.3 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.0 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adrian Mannarino and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the Toronto on July 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mannarino enters with a 16–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shelton has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shelton entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.