Marcos Giron vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Jul 28, 2025 • 7:25 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Adrian Mannarino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marcos Giron
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,493 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,493 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marcos Giron and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Toronto on July 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Giron enters with a 15–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mannarino has posted a 16–22 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Giron leads 3–1 over Mannarino.