Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Washington • Hard • Jul 27, 2025 • 9:55 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,163 points across 77 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,163 points across 77 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,942 points across 94 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,942 points across 94 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Washington on July 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fokina enters with a 30–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Minaur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 3–1 over Fokina, including a win in their most recent meeting.