Ajla Tomljanovic vs Anastasija Sevastova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montreal • Hard • Jul 28, 2025 • 10:35 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anastasija Sevastova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ajla Tomljanovic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,549 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,549 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasija Sevastova
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,730 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,730 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ajla Tomljanovic and Anastasija Sevastova are set to meet at the Montreal on July 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tomljanovic enters with a 14–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sevastova has posted a 8–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sevastova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sevastova leads 2–0 over Tomljanovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.