BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Kimberly Birrell vs Victoria Mboko · Match odds & ELO prediction

Montreal • Hard • Jul 27, 2025 • 7:55 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Victoria Mboko

Key insights

Player performance profile

Kimberly Birrell

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,622 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.266% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.943% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.249% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%72% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Victoria Mboko

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,636 points across 51 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.582% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.258% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.973% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%75% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Kimberly Birrell and Victoria Mboko are set to meet at the Montreal on July 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Birrell enters with a 31–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mboko has posted a 41–8 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Mboko leads 3–0 over Birrell, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Birrell and Mboko have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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