BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Colton Smith vs Patrick Kypson · Match odds & ELO prediction

Toronto • Hard • Jul 26, 2025 • 7:35 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Colton Smith

Key insights

Player performance profile

Colton Smith

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,815 points across 22 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.240% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.487% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.593% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%19% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Patrick Kypson

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~881 points across 7 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.969% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.59% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.415% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
17%3% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Colton Smith and Patrick Kypson are set to meet at the Toronto on July 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Smith enters with a 19–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kypson has posted a 38–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kypson entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Smith leads 2–1 over Kypson.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Smith and Kypson have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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