Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Washington • Hard • Jul 26, 2025 • 2:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,653 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,653 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to meet at the Washington on July 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fokina has posted a 30–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fritz, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.