Maria Sakkari vs Emma Navarro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Washington • Hard • Jul 23, 2025 • 10:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,753 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,753 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emma Navarro
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,017 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,017 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Emma Navarro are set to meet at the Washington on July 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Navarro has posted a 17–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Navarro, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Sakkari leads 3–1 over Navarro, including a win in their most recent meeting.