Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet · Match odds & ELO prediction
Palermo • Clay • Jul 21, 2025 • 3:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francesca Jones
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesca Jones
38% · 3–5 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,854 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,854 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 57% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.9 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Chloe Paquet
33% · 4–8 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,039 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,039 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -15.4 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 0% | 2% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesca Jones and Chloe Paquet are set to meet at the Palermo on July 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Jones enters with a 26–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Paquet has posted a 15–18 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paquet entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jones leads 3–0 over Paquet, including a win in their most recent meeting.