Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet · Match odds & ELO prediction
Palermo • Clay • Jul 21, 2025 • 3:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Francesca Jones
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesca Jones
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,116 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,116 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.1 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Chloe Paquet
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,227 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,227 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -13.7 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesca Jones and Chloe Paquet are set to meet at the Palermo on July 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Jones enters with a 26–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Paquet has posted a 15–18 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jones, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Jones leads 3–0 over Paquet, including a win in their most recent meeting.