Jay Clarke vs Sumit Nagal · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tampere • Clay • Jul 22, 2025 • 10:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sumit Nagal
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jay Clarke
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,002 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,002 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.8 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sumit Nagal
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,674 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,674 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jay Clarke and Sumit Nagal are set to meet at the Tampere on July 22, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Clarke enters with a 26–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Nagal has posted a 23–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Clarke, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Nagal leads 3–0 over Clarke, including a win in their most recent meeting.