Thiago Monteiro vs Facundo Bagnis · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kitzbuhel • Clay • Jul 20, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Facundo Bagnis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Thiago Monteiro
43% · 3–4 on hard
48% · 23–25 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,637 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,637 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Facundo Bagnis
63% · 5–3 on hard
53% · 10–9 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,597 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,597 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Thiago Monteiro and Facundo Bagnis are set to meet at the Kitzbuhel on July 20, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Monteiro enters with a 23–25 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bagnis has posted a 10–9 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Monteiro leads 3–1 over Bagnis.