Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Umag • Clay • Jul 21, 2025 • 6:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mariano Navone
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Barrios Vera
55% · 6–5 on hard
47% · 9–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,672 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,672 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariano Navone
55% · 6–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,976 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,976 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Barrios Vera and Mariano Navone are set to meet at the Umag on July 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vera enters with a 42–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Navone has posted a 30–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Navone entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Navone leads 4–1 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.