Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bastad • Clay • Jul 19, 2025 • 1:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Luciano Darderi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,245 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,245 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Bastad on July 19, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cerundolo enters with a 21–11 record on clay courts in 2025, while Darderi has posted a 30–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Darderi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Cerundolo leads 4–2 over Darderi, including a win in their most recent meeting.